@Article{GomesCCVVCLNR:2020:WaBuCh,
author = "Gomes, Weslley de Brito and Correia, Francis Wagner Silva and
Capistrano, Vin{\'{\i}}cius Buscioli and Veiga, Jos{\'e}
Augusto P. and Vergasta, Leonardo Alves and Chou, Sin Chan and
Lyra, Andr{\'e} de Arruda and Nobre, Paulo and Rocha,
Vin{\'{\i}}cius Machado",
affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazonia (INPA)} and
{Universidade do Estado do Amazonas (UEA)} and {Universidade do
Estado do Amazonas (UEA)} and {Universidade do Estado do Amazonas
(UEA)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazonia (INPA)}
and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and
{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto
Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Universidade Federal
do Rec{\^o}ncavo da Bahia (UFRBA)}",
title = "Water budget changes in the Amazon Basin under RCP 8.5 and
deforestation scenarios",
journal = "Climate Research",
year = "2020",
volume = "80",
pages = "105--120",
keywords = "Amazon Basin · Anthropogenic scenarios · Deforestation · Water
budget · Climate Modeling.",
abstract = "We used climate models to assess the effects of 2 distinct
anthropogenic forcings on the water budget in the Amazon basin:
(1) increasing global greenhouse gases under the RCP8.5 scenario,
and (2) land cover change caused by deforestation. The Eta
regional climate model, driven by the Brazilian Earth System Model
version 2.5 (BESM 2.5), was used to simulate the climate response
under the RCP8.5 scenario and due to deforestation throughout the
21st century. Changes in energy and water budgets led to an
increase in temperature that reached 5°C throughout the basin. In
the RCP8.5 scenario, moisture convergence, precipitation and
evapotranspiration all decreased. In this scenario, the positive
feedback mechanism was predominant, as the reductions in
evapotranspiration and moisture convergence acted in the same
direction to reduce precipitation. In the future deforestation
scenarios, reductions in precipitation were even stronger. In this
case, the negative feedback mechanism predominated, in which the
relative reduction in evapotranspiration was greater than the
reduction in precipitation, leading to an increase in moisture
convergence over the region. Changes in temperature and the water
cycle were intensified in the future deforestation scenarios.
These results show that the 2 anthropogenic factors can change the
water budget and cause an imbalance in the climate-biome system in
the Amazon basin, highlighting the need for public conservation
policies to halt the increase in environmental degradation in the
Amazon basin and to reduce greenhouse gases emissions due the
burning of fossil fuels.",
doi = "10.3354/cr01597",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.3354/cr01597",
issn = "0936-577X",
label = "lattes: 6041333024387123 8 BritoGomesSCVACANM:2020:WaBuCh",
language = "en",
targetfile = "Gomesetal.2020.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "27 abr. 2024"
}